Real Chili

Sunday, October 08, 2006

NBA pipeline back in business

Steve Novak makes it three Marquette players (Dwyane Wade, Travis Diener) joining the NBA in four years and none of them were recruited to the Big East. Not too shabby. Dominic James, recruited to the Big East, could make it four NBA players in five years.
A look at this year's roster in order of best to worst chances of playing in the NBA, with wild guesses as to a percentage of each player's chances:
Dominic James: Still needs to tweak his shot to become a sure thing, but the odds are big-time in his favor. I liked Murf's suggestion to bring the shot to the top of the forehead, instead of pulling it toward the back of the head. Chances James will play in the NBA: 85 percent.
Lazar Hayward: Needs to improve ballhandling so that he can become a better slasher, but he has good size for an NBA two guard and the right shooting touch. After a four-year career at Marquette, the NCAA Clearinghouse willing, Hayward should show follow the improvement path of fellow shooting stars Diener and Novak. NBA chances: 65 percent.
Wes Matthews: Had close to an NBA body as a freshman. Shot's a little funky, almost in a setshot sort of way, and although he's quick, is he quick enough by NBA standards? If James goes to the NBA after this season, I'm not freaking out about the point guard position. Scott Christopherson will be best suited for instant offense off the bench and Maurice Acker has the look of a good 15-minute energy guy off the bench who can create matchup problems. I'm hoping by next season Matthews will be ready to be the starting point guard. It's his best path to an NBA career and given how much players' skills improve under Tom Crean, I don't think it's that big of a reach to picture Matthews at the point. NBA chances: 45 percent.
Jerel McNeal: Reports of him going to his left a lot more are encouraging. He's quick enough and strong enough to possibly project as NBA-worthy defensively, but his court vision, passing skills and shooting touch don't meet NBA standars. Look for him to develop a killer bank shot in college and make a nice living overseas. NBA chances: 10 percent.
Dan Fitzgerald: If he can develop a killer three-point shot, it's conceivable there could be a spot for him at the end of somebody's bench. Even if he does project offensively, though, he doesn't move his feet well enough to guard a small forward. NBA chances: 4 percent.
David Cubillan: Never know, he could develop into a Lindsey Hunter. NBA chances: 2 percent.
Mike Kinsella: He's 7 feet tall and has a soft touch. NBA chances: 1 percent.
Ousmane Barro: Not quick enough to cover small forwards and not thick enough to bang inisde in the NBA, Barro's hands also keep him from becoming a productive rebounder. He runs the floor like an NBA player, though. NBA chances: 1 percent.
Trend Blackledge: Freakish hops, so you can't completely count him out if he goes on a steady diet of milkshakes and peanut butter. NBA chances: 1 percent.
Maurice Acker: Guys that small can be hard to guard. NBA chances: 1 percent.
Dwight Burke: Less than 1 percent.
Jamil Lott:
Less than 1 percent.


  • interesting perspectives.....I think you are grossly underselling Matthews' and McNeal's NBA potential -- and overvaluing Hayward's.

    I think Mathews becomes the best NBA player on the current MU roster - - he has the body type, savvy and versatility that'll allow him to have a long, productive career. Perhaps an Aaron McKie type of player and pro career.

    By Blogger NY Warrior, at 6:22 AM  

  • Tom Crean has said that Ousmane will play in the NBA....big men do generally develop later and slower and, of course, he has a ways to go, but look how far he's come in just the past year.

    By Blogger BrewCity, at 9:26 AM  

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